Jun 8 2009

Tracking the Great Recession: Global Industrial Output and World Stock Markets Following the Great Depression.

How the investing world quickly forgets.  If we go back into the distant future of March 2009, you would remember that on a panic filled day, the S&P 500 flirted with the 666 low.  Since that day, the S&P 500 has rallied an astonishing 41 percent in only a 3-month period.  Yet as astonishing as […]

May 4 2009

S&P 500 up 34 Percent in Less Than 2 Months: S&P 500 went down 38 Percent for all of 2008. So why are we Still Down 42 Percent from the 2007 Peak?

We are witnessing one of the strongest bear market rallies in history.  This kind of market volatility only rears its head during extreme environments.  One quick fact many market watchers will realize is that if you lose 50 percent of your portfolio, you will need to have a 100 percent gain to break even.  How […]

Apr 2 2009

Employment a Lagging Indicator? Not Always. Using Outdated Economic Data and Trends for Future Financial Models. Just Because Stocks Rebound doesn’t Mean the Fundamentals are Good.

The markets are continuing on an unrelenting upward movement since their March 9th lows.  This is a strong rally that has now seen the S&P 500 jump up by 25 percent in the matter of a few weeks!  This kind of market volatility is reserved for highly volatile and troubled markets.  It is a rare […]

Mar 25 2009

Dow and S&P 500: Is 2009 a Redux of 1938 and 1939? Powerful Spring through Summer Rallies. Market on Track for best Month in Decades.

The recent market rally is going down in the record books.  The S&P 500 is up 21 percent in a matter of 3 weeks, which is one of the strongest short-term rallies in the books.  In fact, we are on track for our best month since 1987.  Yet this rally has the ominous signs of […]

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