Sep 27 2012

How the Fed bluffs the financial system – Labor force participation back to levels last seen over three decades ago. Fed policy aims at pushing US dollar lower.

The US is facing a long trend of aging Americans entering into retirement or what can be viewed as life post-work.  The vision of sitting on the sand in some resort villa is largely a dream.  Nearly half of American when they leave this world go out broke like a country western song.  Today as […]

Sep 24 2012

Deleveraging from one bubble to another – $6.2 trillion in mortgage debt was added between 2000 and 2008. Since the peak in 2008 $1.3 trillion in US household debt is gone but another bubble is brewing hidden under the rubble of the busted housing market.

There is some interesting data on the deleveraging that is occurring with the American household.  Since the peak in Q3 of 2008, US households have lowered their outstanding debt by $1.3 trillion.  It is important to understand how this deleveraging is occurring.  First of all, Americans are largely paying down existing debts much faster and […]

Sep 15 2012

QE3 into infinity and stagflation – Federal Reserve now purchasing over 50 percent of MBS and planning on buying $40 billion per month into infinity.

The Federal Reserve is playing with financial fire here.  The last employment report was terribly weak and no amount of spinning can make it good.  The drop was largely based on hundreds of thousands of Americans dropping out of the labor force.  Is that really a positive sign?  Last week we received data from the […]

Sep 13 2012

Federal Reserve slaps on financial rocket boosters but who will benefit? Half of Americans spend more than they make and household incomes fall back to levels last seen in 1995.

The Federal Reserve announced the sequel to the sequel on Thursday with Quantitative Easing 3.  After all, if something didn’t work the first time might as well rinse and repeat.  The markets are rallying yet what has come from the QEI, QEII, TALF, TARP, and all of those other backdoor bailouts?  What has resulted is […]

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