May 6 2011

Banking in darkness – FDIC system insures over $7 trillion in deposits with a dwindling insurance fund. Americans are offered close to zero percent interest rates to stuff their money into this banking vortex.

The American banking system is based on pure faith.  Usually when the topic comes up in conversation I will ask someone if they know what backs the green cash in their wallet.  One of the common responses is “there is gold in Fort Knox” or another typical response is that it is backed by U.S. […]

Apr 28 2011

Home on the bear market range – the United States will face a 10 to 15 year real estate bear market. Hard to believe but we are already 5 years into this economic trend. The failure of Quantitative Easing in Japan.

Can Americans cope with a 10 to 15 year bear market in real estate?  On this front I have good news, and bad news.  The bad news is that we are likely to face at least a 10 year bear market in real estate thanks to a lost decade in household income and the continued […]

Apr 25 2011

The financial tipping point of peak debt – Total credit market debt owed increased from $28 trillion in 2001 to over $52 trillion in 2011. Household debt contracting while Fed juices up the banking sector with more debt.

At the dark heart of our financial dilemma is debt.  Too much debt was used to bolster households during the real estate bubble and now too much debt is being used by the government to bail out the financial sector.  Is there a tipping point in the amount of debt the American economy can shoulder?  […]

Apr 9 2011

The housing gamble: What if home prices remained stagnant until 2020? 6 charts laying out the argument for stagnant or declining home prices for another 10 years. Peak in dual income households, home prices still inflated relative to incomes, Federal Reserve unable to hold mortgage rates low forever.

What would happen if home prices remain stagnant for another decade?  It is hard to imagine that the cornerstone of the American dream would somehow become a bad investment for the next decade.  For decades every generation was conditioned into believing that housing was the best investment a family could make.  For many it provided […]

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