Jun 9 2013

The return of irrational exuberance to Las Vegas: The growing worries of another Las Vegas housing bubble.

It is rather clear that large institutional investors are diving into investment real estate once again.  This time these investors are supplanting individuals but are targeting very familiar markets in Arizona, Nevada, and Florida.  One of those markets is Las Vegas.  Las Vegas had one of the most spectacular real estate bubbles that we have […]

Jan 9 2012

Las Vegas real estate and the dynamics of a lower priced housing market – With median home prices around $100,000 they now reflect the reality of a lower paying service sector economy. Foreclosures and short-sales make up over 70 percent of all sales activity.

Las Vegas is a case study in the limits of the housing bubble but also the reflection of a new economy driven by a demand for lower price real estate.  Wedged in the story of a collapsing real estate market is a new reality that many families are craving lower priced properties.  Few places in […]

Sep 6 2011

The giant gamble in the desert – how Las Vegas bet big on commercial and residential real estate and lost big. Home prices in Las Vegas now down 60 percent from their peak and nearly 1 out of every 5 mortgages is in foreclosure.

Las Vegas is an economic enigma.  A gambling and resort paradise planted in the middle of the barren Southwest desert like an electrical oasis.  Very few areas witnessed such a large boom in both residential and commercial real estate rolled into one.  In a city known for big wins and even bigger defeats the real […]

May 16 2011

Scorching the desert housing markets – Arizona and Nevada real estate blossomed with cheap fuel and easy access to debt. For last two years 40 percent of buyers came from all cash purchases. What happens when the well runs dry in the financial desert?

The Arizona housing market is a perfect example of what happens when the housing religion spirals out of control and implodes in dramatic fashion pushing up against environmental limits.  I remember driving in the blistering summer heat through Arizona before all the housing mania launched out of control in the late 1990s and thinking that […]

Jan 11 2011

The gambling economy – Nevada GDP contracted 6.4 percent during the crisis. A state where 1 out of 4 people is unemployed or underemployed. States trying to balance budgets with gambling and casinos.

Nevada has really taken a hard hit from the current recession.  Most Americans at some level have felt the repercussions of the current financial crisis but Nevada has felt the pangs of the crisis much deeper.  Nevada now holds the highest unemployment rate of any state in the country.  Nevada’s GDP is $131 billion with […]

Dec 21 2010

Las Vegas is to the real estate bubble what Detroit was to the US automobile industry – Empty condo projects, apartments poorly built to face the desert sun, and the collapse of commercial real estate.

If Wall Street is the hub of American finance then Las Vegas was the manifestation of credit dreams going viral.  Las Vegas, the beating heart of Nevada had a tremendous boom with the real estate bubble because it played into the narrative of making it big.  Where else can unknowns strike it big and have […]

Nov 6 2010

Las Vegas city has 3 times the rentals of Los Angeles city and L.A. has 6 times the population – U-Haul rate trends and home sales higher in Las Vegas than peak months of the bubble driven by absentee investors.

The Las Vegas housing market expanded and popped the quickest and highlights the gambling euphoria that engulfed the housing bubble.  The housing market in Las Vegas has served as an albatross to drag the state of Nevada down to the point that now the desert state ranks as number one in unemployment nationwide.  One of […]

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