Mar 25 2015

Bear markets happen more than people think: Since 1940 we have encountered 12 bear markets.

A bear market is defined by a 20 percent drop in the stock market from recent highs.  For some, the memory of the last crisis is now but a distant echo.  After all, we’ve been in a rather strong bull run for 6 years.  But bear markets happen more than most people think.  Since 1940 […]

Feb 1 2015

Market indicators suggesting a correction is coming: On Black Tuesday Shiller PE Ratio was at 30. Today it is at 26.2 and volatility is back in a big way.

Volatility is back in a big way for the global economy.  Not that it went away but for a couple of years central banks fooled the public into believing that perpetual debt was a good way to rejuvenate the markets.  There will be no free lunch.  Oil crashed rather dramatically. Greece is reigniting further issues […]

Sep 5 2014

The return of the stock market bubble: In a world with clear risk, investors are acting as if the market is completely risk free.

Some investors tend to believe the stock market is a perfect and balanced barometer of the underlying economy.  Even with the recent bubbles in technology stocks and real estate, some still have this misguided assumption that stock values are always priced right.  Most of the movement in the market is being driven by institutional investors […]

Jul 16 2014

We are absolutely in a stock market bubble: corporate equity valuations now higher than peak reached in 2007. Crestmont P/E of 26.3 is 90 percent above its average of 13.9.

Once again the stock market is in full bubble mode. The internet chat forums are full of people pumping up stocks and you also have penny stocks surging in light of people looking for the next free lunch. The stock market is a poor indicator of the overall economy but it does show how those […]

Jun 6 2013

Bread, butter, and food stamp economy: Is the US developing a permanent under-class of citizens economically?

The American economy has developed a deep disconnect between its financial markets and the working and middle class.  The stock market has soared by 138 percent from the low reached in 2009.  Yet very little of this has trickled down to the majority of Americans.  In fact, most Americans actually saw little to negative growth […]

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