Sep 5 2014

The return of the stock market bubble: In a world with clear risk, investors are acting as if the market is completely risk free.

Some investors tend to believe the stock market is a perfect and balanced barometer of the underlying economy.  Even with the recent bubbles in technology stocks and real estate, some still have this misguided assumption that stock values are always priced right.  Most of the movement in the market is being driven by institutional investors […]

Jul 16 2014

We are absolutely in a stock market bubble: corporate equity valuations now higher than peak reached in 2007. Crestmont P/E of 26.3 is 90 percent above its average of 13.9.

Once again the stock market is in full bubble mode. The internet chat forums are full of people pumping up stocks and you also have penny stocks surging in light of people looking for the next free lunch. The stock market is a poor indicator of the overall economy but it does show how those […]

Jun 2 2014

Stock market flashing red at an overvaluation of 68 percent: Looking at Crestmont, Cyclical, Q Ratio, and S&P Regression all suggest market is in for an upcoming correction.

The stock market continues to make record highs even though profits do not warrant current valuations. Looking at four standard valuation models we find that the stock market is highly overvalued relative to earnings. For most Americans with little stock ownership, this is merely a sideshow as to what is unfolding in the real economy. […]

Jul 26 2012

Retirement means having to work in current economy – new survey shows 34 percent of workers in their 60s do not plan on retiring. The hunger for higher yields in a weak stock market.

The chase for yield is causing money to flow into unlikely places in the market.  The low performance market has taken a toll on retirement planning models for millions of Americans nearing retirement age.  Many of the models were built on the assumption that stock market gains would return 7 to 10 percent annual gains […]

Nov 10 2011

The young and the broke – 37 percent of young households held zero or a negative net worth in 2009. The median net worth of those 35 and younger is $3,600.

It is hard to imagine a future generation of Americans were those moving forward are actually poorer than the current generation.  Yet that is precisely the world we are diving into.  Those that purchased homes in the pre-bubble days and also attended college in less inflated times have a massive head start on the current […]

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