Jul 16 2014

We are absolutely in a stock market bubble: corporate equity valuations now higher than peak reached in 2007. Crestmont P/E of 26.3 is 90 percent above its average of 13.9.

Once again the stock market is in full bubble mode. The internet chat forums are full of people pumping up stocks and you also have penny stocks surging in light of people looking for the next free lunch. The stock market is a poor indicator of the overall economy but it does show how those […]

Jun 2 2014

Stock market flashing red at an overvaluation of 68 percent: Looking at Crestmont, Cyclical, Q Ratio, and S&P Regression all suggest market is in for an upcoming correction.

The stock market continues to make record highs even though profits do not warrant current valuations. Looking at four standard valuation models we find that the stock market is highly overvalued relative to earnings. For most Americans with little stock ownership, this is merely a sideshow as to what is unfolding in the real economy. […]

Jul 26 2012

Retirement means having to work in current economy – new survey shows 34 percent of workers in their 60s do not plan on retiring. The hunger for higher yields in a weak stock market.

The chase for yield is causing money to flow into unlikely places in the market.  The low performance market has taken a toll on retirement planning models for millions of Americans nearing retirement age.  Many of the models were built on the assumption that stock market gains would return 7 to 10 percent annual gains […]

Nov 10 2011

The young and the broke – 37 percent of young households held zero or a negative net worth in 2009. The median net worth of those 35 and younger is $3,600.

It is hard to imagine a future generation of Americans were those moving forward are actually poorer than the current generation.  Yet that is precisely the world we are diving into.  Those that purchased homes in the pre-bubble days and also attended college in less inflated times have a massive head start on the current […]

Oct 13 2011

Middle class do worse in current economic recovery – median household income falls faster during recovery than during recession. S&P 500 up 77 percent in recovery while home values are neutral or down in many areas.

Some incredibly disturbing data was released this week showing the continuing crushing body blow to the American middle class.  What was striking was that middle class incomes have fallen faster during the supposed recovery from June 2009 to June 2011 than they did in the actual recession from December 2007 to June 2009.  Why?  First, […]

Aug 14 2011

The rise of the new gilded age – Massive market volatility is a dramatic sign of an unhealthy economy – 14 of the 28 biggest percent declines since 1950 in the S&P 500 have come after 2008. Two of those volatile days have occurred in August of 2011.

Massive stock market volatility is not a good sign for the economy and like an EKG is telling us something is troubling the heart of the nation.  The most tumultuous times in the stock market have occurred during times of great economic uncertainty.  August of 2011 has quickly brought back the troubling memories of 2008 […]

Feb 12 2011

Wall Street rally based on fantasy valuations and investment banking trading – S&P 500 back to 2007 valuations and up nearly 100 percent from March 2009 trough.

Wall Street has a way of sucking people back into a money losing vortex.  With hedge funds using high frequency trading boxes the public has no chance in competing with these organized and sophisticated gambling casinos.  It is amazing how quickly people forget.  It was only in March of 2009 that the S&P 500 hit […]

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