Why oil is crashing and the black swan event of 2014: The price of oil is down by 40 percent in six months and hardly anyone saw this coming.
Black swan events are bound to happen in financial markets. It appeared that 2014 would be a year where stock markets gained footing in the world of supposedly low volatility until oil prices came crashing down. The crash in oil is enormous. It has sent many countries into panic mode including Russia where interest rates […]
Cronyism and ensuring American taxpayers bailout the finance industry during the next crash: Nostradamus like spending bill will ensure big banks never fail with your money.
Do you smell what is in the air? Pine trees? No. Something with a more pungent smell. There is a wonderful whiff of cronyism floating around Washington D.C. In the latest government kabuki theater there was some interesting items being passed. There were major protections given to banks should trillions of dollars in derivatives blow […]
The American Dream deferred for young Americans: Living in rentals, inflated college tuition, and low wages await millions of young Americans.
The Americans Dream was largely built on a few simple ideals. One was the ability to purchase your own home without needing artificially low rates and dangerously low down payments. Another key aspect of the dream was allowing young Americans to receive a college education to pursue their future. While more Americans are going to […]
The government is already in a soft default and is addicted to low interest rates: Government expenses at $3.87 trillion while receipts enter at $3.29 trillion.
The term default has varying definitions depending on whether you are an individual, a big bank, or the government. For you as an individual, default will occur when you are unable to pay your debts with the income you are generating. You are constrained by your income. As we saw with the housing crisis, when […]
Working for peanuts: Half of American workers earn less than $28,031 per year and household income now back to levels last seen two decades ago.
Every fall, two pieces of data are released reflecting the earning potential of American families and workers. The low wage economy has certainly taken a toll on how much Americans earn. Social Security data was recently released and shows that 50 percent of the country earns less than $28,031. This is the per capita wage. […]
One-third of working Americans support two-thirds of the population: The hidden figures of those not in the labor force and transfer payments.
There still seems to be little acknowledgement of the massive army of people now falling into the category labeled as not in the labor force. Some of this growth is predictable like many older Americans hitting retirement age. But this only explains a small portion of the change since many older Americans are needing to […]
The stock market correction has arrived: Massive global volatility, central bank wizardry, geo-political instability, and people finally realizing how overvalued the market has become.
The stock market is finally reflecting the true nature of the global economy. There is massive geo-political instability, central bank double-speak, and a growing trend of low wage labor. In the US, it is no surprise that subprime auto debt has grown at an outstanding pace simply because people are too broke to finance a […]