The financial bubble that is still popping – Home prices enter a deep double dip because household incomes are still in a rut. Housing bubbles in Los Angeles and San Francisco persist while Miami and Phoenix metro areas face double digit annual price declines.
Some people are stunned that home prices continue to sink as if a lead weight was placed on the value of housing. The mainstream press never sliced and diced the minor jump in prices we had last year because much of the increase occurred around tax credit gimmicks and the Federal Reserve using artificially low [...]
California facing $20 billion budget deficits deep into 2016 – $25 billion budget deficit starring California in the face for the next fiscal year and overly optimistic economic predictions.
California, the wealthiest state in our nation is facing some Herculean financial troubles yet again. As the elections came to a dramatic close, it was announced that a $6 billion budget deficit emerged from “miscalculations” of potential revenue streams. The current Governor was overly optimistic in many respects including an expectation that the Federal government [...]
The stalling of the California housing market – California Foreclosure Prevention Act has institutionalized a drawn out foreclosure process. 470,000 MLS listed and distressed homes in the state. California construction industry employing the same number of workers as it did in the early 1990s.
The state of California continues to grapple with the collapse of the enormous housing bubble. The Governor earlier in the week called for a special emergency session to deal with a $6 billion deficit that emerged just weeks after the state budget was signed and the ink dried. States with a large dependence on the [...]
The housing documents mess – Why banks are carelessly rushing foreclosures in Florida and not in California. Mortgage foreclosure deficiency judgments.
In the last few weeks the issue has come to the table that in some states, in particular Florida, banks are rushing through the foreclosure process so quickly that they have mismanaged the paperwork process. Apparently the same forged paperwork that got people with very little income into highly leveraged properties is now working in [...]
U.S. home prices will resume price decline after year of banking and government intermission. Multiple signs point to another year of slow home price growth and U.S. home values over priced by 20 percent.
Home sales follow very seasonal patterns. Yet much of this natural mechanism was stunted by banks delaying foreclosures and the government artificially stimulating home sales. Now that much of the stimulus has been exhausted, it is clear that home prices are correcting once again. It is hard for many to imagine that home prices can [...]
California MLS inventory up 25 percent since April. MLS public data at 144,000 but 742,000 mortgages in California are in foreclosure or one payment behind.
MLS inventory for California has increased by 25 percent since April of this year. Part of this has to do with more foreclosures and short sales trickling their way onto the market. It also has to do with sales declining because of tax credit expiration fatigue. But what is the real inventory if banks were [...]
Submarine housing markets – Negative equity map and the 7 metro areas where mortgage balances outweigh the entire stock of housing. Examining underwater housing across the U.S.
Negative equity at such a large scale is a rather unique phenomenon from this housing bubble. Even just a decade ago, a person got into a negative equity position due to a really significant shift in a localized market. For example, a city lost a major manufacturing company that supported most jobs and home values [...]
Gear up for another lost decade in real estate. Housing will remain stagnate from 2010 to 2020. Demographic shifts, higher mortgage rates, and shifting consumer taste in real estate.
The dynamics for housing moving forward point to a very bleak future and a potential lost decade yet again from 2010 to 2020. Housing has a treacherous path moving forward and deep down demographic shifts will keep a lid on any significant housing appreciation moving forward. The economy is in the process of deleveraging from [...]
Blame the real estate bubble on California and New York. Why the housing bubble centered around 4 states and spread across the nation. The Southwest and Florida sunshine real estate infatuation. 45 percent of foreclosure filings come from 4 states.
When we hear about the foreclosure crisis we tend to paint with a very broad real estate brush. Without a doubt the housing bubble bursting is rippling throughout the country. Yet to assume all states are being impacted equally is absolutely incorrect yet mainstream media analysis usually talks about the “foreclosure crisis” as if it [...]
Most over valued region in San Francisco gets a taste of the commercial real estate bust. $3 trillion in loans starting to implode at a faster rate. Why commercial real estate will plunge FDIC insured banks into closure. Bought for $415,000 per apartment unit.
The commercial real estate bust is in full swing. This $3 trillion mortgage market is standing to push hundreds of banks into failure and adding additional strain to the embattled FDIC. Commercial real estate (CRE) is a good indicator of where things are heading economically because it is a reflection of what revenues are being [...]
