Nov 30 2008

Black Swan Event: Can This Economic Crisis be Worse than the Great Depression?

Black Swan events are said to be impossible events.  That is until they happen.  The PBS News Hour has an interview with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the famous economist who authored The Black Swan and his mentor Dr. Mandelbrot who is a professor of Mathematics who has done research on chaos theory.  It is a fascinating […]

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Nov 29 2008

Toxic wife and Toxic Assets: When the Money Goes get Ready for Divorce.

Leave it to the sense and sensibility of the United Kingdom to talk about the gold-digging wives that are now leaving their high income husbands for greener pastures.  This isn’t an uncommon thing.  We have witnessed high profile celebrities and athletes fall from grace only to see their “loved one” depart once things got bad.  […]

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Nov 28 2008

$50 Trillion in Global Wealth Gone in 1 Year: Examining the Financial Markets of the World.

Even after the historic stock market rally, global markets have lost $50 trillion in wealth over one year.  I think people still haven’t come to terms or grasp the magnitude of wealth destruction we have just lived through.  Sure, we can flip out about the $200 billion the U.S. Treasury injected into consumer debt markets […]

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Nov 28 2008

Citigroup Analyst Predicts $2,000 an Ounce Gold in next 2 Years: Another Stupid Move by U.S. Government Where we Should Have Invested the Bailout Money in Gold Bars.

So what do we get for our massive bailout of Citigroup?  How about an ominous warning that global markets will collapse or we will face massive inflation.  Either way, the suggestion from one analyst at Citi is gold will go to $2,000 in the next 2 years.  We just backstopped $306 billion in toxic mortgages […]

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Nov 26 2008

Dow up 1,174 Points in 4 Days: A Gain of 15.5%. Last Time we Had a 4 Day Gain this Big? August of 1932.

We have seen an unprecedented 4-day rally in the stock market.  This is rather astounding given the parade of bad news. New home sales hit half century lows.  Consumer spending has fallen to lows not seen since 2001.  Unemployment claims are running at multi-decade lows.

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Nov 26 2008

$8 Trillion for the Financial Bailout. Nice Holiday Gift.

As if we needed any more evidence that this financial bubble is one for the history books.  The government has now committed the American taxpayer to roughly $8 trillion.  We’ve already used up over $2 trillion and the risk is absolutely amazing.  Can you believe the state of California is now a higher credit risk […]

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