Nov 19 2009

Commercial Real Estate Reality Check: 2007 Commercial Real Estate Valued at $6.5 Trillion with $3.5 trillion loans. Today, Commercial Real Estate Valued at $3.5 Trillion with $3.5 Trillion in Loans. Can you spot the Problem?

Commercial real estate is dealing with the neutron bomb effect.  The buildings still stand but the inside is gutted as if vultures had devoured a carcass.  What we are seeing, like in many other sectors of our economy, is a distinction between reality based economics and the inflated prices of Wall Street.  If we look [...]

Oct 31 2009

Dow Jones Largest Fall Since April of 2009: Current Rally based on V-Shaped Recovery Hopes and Sustained Spending. Credit Card Mail Offers Fall from 2.1 billion in Q3 of 2006 to 391 million in Q3 of 2009.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 249 points on Friday was a significant turning point in this rally because it came on the back of a 200 point jump just the subsequent day.  On Thursday the GDP numbers were released showing a strong 3.5 percent jump.  Yet digging into the data, 1.6 percent of this [...]

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