Apr 2 2017

Baby boom or bust: Retirement withdrawals now exceed contributions. Since 2008 US public debt up by $10 trillion, nearly the same as the Russell 3000 Index.

You knew it was only a matter of time before baby boomers started taking out their money from retirement accounts in mass.  If you think boomers were rebalancing every year carefully, think again.  We have now crossed an interesting threshold where retirement withdrawals exceed contributions.  Part of this has to do with a younger and […]

Jan 23 2016

Americans are going to have their wallets rocked in 2016: 7.5 year global business cycle trumps central bank money printing.

Americans are already in the process of having their wallets devoured by shadow inflation and a system that is gutting the middle class like a turkey being stuffed for the oven.  We’ve been in recovery according to various money oracles since 2009 but all we got was a drop in the homeownership rate, stagnant incomes, […]

Aug 21 2015

The casino of Wall Street enters official correction territory: S&P 500 has increased on the back of a massively expanding Fed balance sheet.

The casino effect of Wall Street is being played out in full.  The Fed balance sheet recently stopped growing at an astounding $4.5 trillion.  This is the first time in nearly three years that the balance sheet has slowed down in large part for the oncoming rate hikes that seem to never materialize.  The market […]

Jul 10 2015

China lost the equivalent of 14 Greeces over the last month: Why the actions of banning short selling and punishing the market taken by the Chinese government will backfire.

The market has been fixated on the actions of Greece, a country with 11 million people or the equivalent of Los Angeles County.  However, the bigger action is taking place in the gambling obsessed Chinese economy.  For those of you not following global news the Chinese stock markets, primarily the Shanghai Composite, Shenzhen, and Hang […]

Nov 12 2014

The modern day Gilded Age of wealth: Top 0.1 percent now have more wealth than bottom 90 percent.

Wealth inequality is an extremely touchy subject. The main catalyst for “change” in the recent election had to do with most Americans being dissatisfied with the economy. But how can people be unhappy if the stock market is at a peak and housing values are going up? The reason for this is that most Americans […]

Oct 11 2014

The stock market is finally recognizing severe global volatility: Stock market has worst performance in two years.

Volatility in the market came roaring back this week.  Stocks had their worst weekly performance in two years.  It was hard to understand given the interconnected nature of the markets how little of an impact was being had in US stocks when global markets and governments are facing dramatic challenges.  The markets are slowly coming […]

Jun 2 2014

Stock market flashing red at an overvaluation of 68 percent: Looking at Crestmont, Cyclical, Q Ratio, and S&P Regression all suggest market is in for an upcoming correction.

The stock market continues to make record highs even though profits do not warrant current valuations. Looking at four standard valuation models we find that the stock market is highly overvalued relative to earnings. For most Americans with little stock ownership, this is merely a sideshow as to what is unfolding in the real economy. […]

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