Nov 14 2013

The froth before another stock market crisis: Stock market is overvalued by 27 percent based on historical price to earnings ratio.

The stock market has once again become an overvalued casino where only the large financial players can use massive leverage to enjoy short-term rewards.  Even looking at historical price-to-earnings (PE) ratios we find that stocks are dramatically overpriced.  Yet the stock market is a sham for most Americans.  In fact 53 percent of Americans don’t […]

Feb 2 2010

Stock Market Casino Royale – S&P 500 is overvalued by 100 Percent – Earnings do not Justify Current S&P 500 Levels. Financial Markets setting up for Another Correction.

When I look at the S&P 500 like most people do, you would expect that this wide cross-section of companies in the U.S. would reflect an accurate measure of the true health of industries in our economy.  Yet the S&P 500 is fully disconnected from any historical measures of valuations.  It is startling to see […]

Oct 31 2009

Dow Jones Largest Fall Since April of 2009: Current Rally based on V-Shaped Recovery Hopes and Sustained Spending. Credit Card Mail Offers Fall from 2.1 billion in Q3 of 2006 to 391 million in Q3 of 2009.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 249 points on Friday was a significant turning point in this rally because it came on the back of a 200 point jump just the subsequent day.  On Thursday the GDP numbers were released showing a strong 3.5 percent jump.  Yet digging into the data, 1.6 percent of this […]

Sep 15 2009

S&P 500 is The New Bubble: Current S&P 500 Value is Betting on Return to Bubble Peak, Housing Mania, and 4 Percent Unemployment.

One question that seems to pop up every so often is whether the S&P 500 is overvalued.  To put it simply, it is hyper-valued.  From the 666 low reached in March the index has rallied 57 percent.  Unfortunately much of the rally is based on temporary government stimulus, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve trashing […]

Aug 22 2009

S&P 500 Over Priced: With 97% of Companies Reporting Q2 Earnings the PE Ratio is Now at 129. The Most Over Hyped Market Rally Ever.

There is probably no better indicator of market volatility than the current price to earnings ratio of the S&P 500.  The market volatility is spectacular and we are seeing more gyrations in this recession than we did during the Great Depression.  Since March when the S&P 500 touched the 666 mark, the rally has boosted […]


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