Apr 2 2009

Employment a Lagging Indicator? Not Always. Using Outdated Economic Data and Trends for Future Financial Models. Just Because Stocks Rebound doesn’t Mean the Fundamentals are Good.

The markets are continuing on an unrelenting upward movement since their March 9th lows.  This is a strong rally that has now seen the S&P 500 jump up by 25 percent in the matter of a few weeks!  This kind of market volatility is reserved for highly volatile and troubled markets.  It is a rare […]

Mar 6 2009

Major Trends in Employment: College Graduates Now Facing Higher Unemployment, U-6 Rate now at 14.8%, and 4.3 million jobs lost during this Recession.

The BLS has put out its monthly employment report and the data is once again showing weakness in the U.S. employment market.  What we are now seeing is conformation that this will in fact be the deepest and longest recession since the Great Depression.  What is more troubling is in light of the multiple bailouts […]

Feb 28 2009

Is the California True Unemployment Rate at 18.47 Percent? The 10.1% Headline Number is the Highest Rate in Over a Quarter Century. 1.8 Million Workers Unemployed in one State. How Many are Partially Employed or Have Given up Looking for Work?

California is a microcosm of the entire United States.  The most populous state with a GDP of $1.8 trillion, much of what happens in California does spread throughout the country.  California’s employment situation is deteriorating at a breathtaking speed.  The latest employment numbers were released after the bell closed on Friday, which now seems to […]

Feb 5 2009

Government Employment and Bankrupt City: Federal and State Government were Last Secure Employment Sectors. Financial and Economic Contraction.

States across the country are facing unprecedented budget shortfalls.  A total of 44 states face budget shortfalls, which for all practical purposes puts the entire country in a uniform crisis.  The state of California is in a state of fiscal panic.  Currently the state faces a $42 billion budget deficit and the State Controller has […]

Jan 15 2009

Fiscal Situation of 50 States: Combined Budget Gaps Estimated at $350 Billon for 2010 and 2011.

It is simply stunning that 44 states are facing shortfalls either for this fiscal year, or will come up short in 2010 or 2011.  This puts virtually the entire country in a difficult financial situation.  It is hard to understand how the media feels that the federal government is somehow better able to get money […]

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