Apr 28 2011

Home on the bear market range – the United States will face a 10 to 15 year real estate bear market. Hard to believe but we are already 5 years into this economic trend. The failure of Quantitative Easing in Japan.

Can Americans cope with a 10 to 15 year bear market in real estate?  On this front I have good news, and bad news.  The bad news is that we are likely to face at least a 10 year bear market in real estate thanks to a lost decade in household income and the continued […]

Apr 25 2011

The financial tipping point of peak debt – Total credit market debt owed increased from $28 trillion in 2001 to over $52 trillion in 2011. Household debt contracting while Fed juices up the banking sector with more debt.

At the dark heart of our financial dilemma is debt.  Too much debt was used to bolster households during the real estate bubble and now too much debt is being used by the government to bail out the financial sector.  Is there a tipping point in the amount of debt the American economy can shoulder?  […]

Apr 21 2011

Low wage capitalism – Newly added jobs are coming from lower paying sectors while productivity increases and profits filter to the top of the economic class. 3,500,000 high-wage jobs lost during recession and only 179,000 have been added so far.

One of the most troubling aspects of this “recovery” is how it is being achieved.  We keep hearing about the wonderful Wall Street recovery yet a large portion of this is being created by extracting productivity from workers and stifling wages.  Obviously if you scare the working and middle class and give them no job […]

Apr 15 2011

Meet the new financial boss, same as the old financial boss – Commercial real estate bailout implicates Federal Reserve as Fed balance sheet balloons to $2.7 trillion. CRE values down $3 trillion from their 2008 peak.

Commercial real estate (CRE) is still benefitting from a large shadow bailout by the Federal Reserve.  This isn’t some secretive move since the Fed actually publishes data on this and is available to anyone in the public with a desire to shuffle through the mounds of information.  There has been virtually no media coverage on […]

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