Sep 3 2009

Can the U.S. Dollar Rally while Stocks go Down? U.S. Dollar Fueling Stock Market Rally: Examining the Dow World Index and Dow Index in Relation to the U.S. Dollar. U.S. Dollar down 35 Percent since 2001.

The role of the U.S. dollar is coming into question during this economic crisis.  Most average Americans are oblivious to the fact that since 2001, the U.S. dollar has fallen a stunning 35 percent.  What seemed as good economic times was purely a credit bubble fueled by easy money from the U.S. Treasury and Federal […]

Sep 2 2009

FDIC Insured Institutions have $13.3 Trillion in Assets. 8,195 Banks and 116 Institutions Hold $10.2 Trillion of Those Assets. One out of Four Institutions Unprofitable. 1,000 Banks Will Fail or Merge.

The banking system has taken the country to the financial edge of the greatest recession since the depression.  The enormous number of bad loans floating out in the economy only complicates the unemployment situation.  When we look into the latest banking data, we realize that over 1,000 of current banks will fail or merge with […]

Aug 24 2009

Federal Reserve Paying Interest on Excess Reserves: Why Lend when you can Earn Interest for Holding on to Funds with Low Risk? The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve Walking a Tight Rope.

One tiny announcement made by the Federal Reserve back in October of 2008 is finally making some noise in the dark corners of the internet.  What the Federal Reserve announced at the time was that it would begin paying interest on depository institutions’ excess reserve balances.  Now why this is important is that it offers […]

Aug 22 2009

S&P 500 Over Priced: With 97% of Companies Reporting Q2 Earnings the PE Ratio is Now at 129. The Most Over Hyped Market Rally Ever.

There is probably no better indicator of market volatility than the current price to earnings ratio of the S&P 500.  The market volatility is spectacular and we are seeing more gyrations in this recession than we did during the Great Depression.  Since March when the S&P 500 touched the 666 mark, the rally has boosted […]

Aug 16 2009

Why Budget Deficits Matter: Government at a $1.26 Trillion Budget Deficit for the 2009 Fiscal Year. Three Times as Large as Last Year and we still have Two More Months of Data.

The notion that deficits do not matter is a widely held and deeply ingrained economic philosophy.  This line of thought took a stronghold in the 1980s and has seemed to stick to our ever-growing dismay.  Yet budget deficits do matter if we are looking at an economic horizon that is longer than one fiscal year.  […]

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