Nov 19 2009

Commercial Real Estate Reality Check: 2007 Commercial Real Estate Valued at $6.5 Trillion with $3.5 trillion loans. Today, Commercial Real Estate Valued at $3.5 Trillion with $3.5 Trillion in Loans. Can you spot the Problem?

Commercial real estate is dealing with the neutron bomb effect.  The buildings still stand but the inside is gutted as if vultures had devoured a carcass.  What we are seeing, like in many other sectors of our economy, is a distinction between reality based economics and the inflated prices of Wall Street.  If we look […]

Aug 3 2009

The Ultimate Sucker’s Rally: Record Breaking 50 Percent Stock Market Rally in 5 Months: Extreme Market Volatility Occurs in Deep Economic Recessions and Depressions. From 676 to 1002.

Incredible.  We have never seen a stock market rally like this in all the history for the S&P 500.  In no other time has the S&P index run up nearly 50 percent in the matter of 5 months.  Extreme market volatility is the ultimate sign of market distress.  Think for a minute and ask yourself […]

Jul 28 2009

It’s the Jobs Stupid: Why There will be no Recovery until Employment Stabilizes. When Obvious Financial Truth Becomes Uncommon. New Nurses Competing with Old Nurses for Hours Because of Gender Unemployment.

It should be rather obvious that without any sustained job growth there will be no economic recovery.  In the same breath, you will have someone tell you that this is no common recession yet when it comes to talking about the stock market they will tell you that in normal times, stocks recover before jobs.  […]

Jul 2 2009

Employment Situation: Job Anti-Growth – A Decade with Zero Net Added Jobs. 131 Million Nonfarm Payroll Employment in June of 2000. 131 Million Nonfarm Payroll Employment in June of 2009. 6,460,000 job losses since start of Recession.

The so-called second half recovery got off to a rocky start.  The market was expecting 367,000 job losses for the month of June but instead got 100,000 more than expected.  The market quickly turned sour as 26,000,000 Americans are now unemployed or underemployed in the job market.  Yet what is even more troubling is the […]

Jun 13 2009

20% U-6 Rate by End of 2009: Employment Situation: Economic Indicator of Hours Worked Dropping at Fastest Pace Since 1970s. A Key Financial Leading Indicator. 7 Million Unemployed since Start of Recession.

The headline number of 9.4 percent unemployment doesn’t do any justice to the 26,000,000 unemployed or underemployed Americans.  Last month, we saw the unemployment situation improve when only 345,000 job losses came online.  This sure beats the 500,000+ months we had for six consecutive months.  Yet the actual unemployment rate jumped from 8.9 percent to […]

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