Nov 15 2012

Recession probabilities – For the 50 million Americans in poverty the probability of a recession is 100 percent. Growing economic divide for working class.

The probabilities of the US slipping into another official recession are growing.  Don’t tell this to the 50 million people that are reportedly at the poverty level according to a new US Census report.  This trend isn’t something new and it certainly is not going to be resolved overnight.  We have nearly 47 million Americans […]

Nov 6 2012

A nation in the pangs of deleveraging – The long-term trend of a declining dollar and a collapsing middle class.

As Americans go out to vote many go blissfully unaware of the reality that our total public debt is now above $16.2 trillion.  If your only source of information was the mainstream press this fact rarely came up in any debates or journalistic investigations.  The discussion of stagnant household income never even came up in […]

Oct 3 2012

Who controls the wealth in the US? Western countries expand balance sheets at the expense of their younger population.

If the debates reflected the true interest of what Americans have on their mind the entire debate would revolve around the slow erosion of the US middle class.  Yet this is something that will only be a footnote and for any discussions that do come up the specifics will be lacking.  The reality is we […]

Sep 15 2012

QE3 into infinity and stagflation – Federal Reserve now purchasing over 50 percent of MBS and planning on buying $40 billion per month into infinity.

The Federal Reserve is playing with financial fire here.  The last employment report was terribly weak and no amount of spinning can make it good.  The drop was largely based on hundreds of thousands of Americans dropping out of the labor force.  Is that really a positive sign?  Last week we received data from the […]

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