Sep 30 2009

Option ARMs in Financial Pain: 900,000 Mortgages and 1 out of 4 either Seriously Delinquent or in Foreclosure. OCC and OTS Report Shows Foreclosures Still Growing.

It is interesting to see new data being published regarding Option ARMs in the new OCC and OTS report.  According to the recently released report, there were 900,000 active Payment Option ARMs in the United States.  What is troubling about the current report is the performance of these loans.  Many of these loans are located […]

Sep 24 2009

The End of the Decade of the American Consumer. The Regime of new Austerity and Consumer Economic Feedback.

The American consumer has become addicted to easy access to debt.  This has gone on for so long that debt is now as vital as air to the survival of our consumption based economy.  This is probably no revelation to you or for those that you know.  Yet the great taboo of American culture is […]

Sep 22 2009

Breaking the Consumer: Exporting Empty Containers Declining. Consumer Credit is contracting at Rapid Pace. Is the Consumer Treadmill Showing Signs of Exhaustion?

If you know where to look, the American consumer is not buying into the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve great debt experiment.  Port traffic is still declining and indicators show no sign of a major resurgence.  If you look at the recent weak outbound pace of containers that are empty what we can expect is […]

Sep 15 2009

S&P 500 is The New Bubble: Current S&P 500 Value is Betting on Return to Bubble Peak, Housing Mania, and 4 Percent Unemployment.

One question that seems to pop up every so often is whether the S&P 500 is overvalued.  To put it simply, it is hyper-valued.  From the 666 low reached in March the index has rallied 57 percent.  Unfortunately much of the rally is based on temporary government stimulus, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve trashing […]

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