Sep 15 2009

S&P 500 is The New Bubble: Current S&P 500 Value is Betting on Return to Bubble Peak, Housing Mania, and 4 Percent Unemployment.

One question that seems to pop up every so often is whether the S&P 500 is overvalued.  To put it simply, it is hyper-valued.  From the 666 low reached in March the index has rallied 57 percent.  Unfortunately much of the rally is based on temporary government stimulus, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve trashing […]

Aug 16 2009

Why Budget Deficits Matter: Government at a $1.26 Trillion Budget Deficit for the 2009 Fiscal Year. Three Times as Large as Last Year and we still have Two More Months of Data.

The notion that deficits do not matter is a widely held and deeply ingrained economic philosophy.  This line of thought took a stronghold in the 1980s and has seemed to stick to our ever-growing dismay.  Yet budget deficits do matter if we are looking at an economic horizon that is longer than one fiscal year.  […]

Aug 11 2009

Financial Brinkmanship: Forcing Americans to Spend and Discouraging Savings. Americans Decide to Save Forced by a New Austerity. Banks Offering Zero Percent on Your Savings Account.

Spending more than you earn is a financially devastating recipe for individuals and nations.  I’ve read countless pop financial books on how to gain and sustain wealth and those that have any substance always emphasize saving your money, spending less than you earn, and being prudent with your funds.  In no book did I ever […]

Aug 3 2009

The Ultimate Sucker’s Rally: Record Breaking 50 Percent Stock Market Rally in 5 Months: Extreme Market Volatility Occurs in Deep Economic Recessions and Depressions. From 676 to 1002.

Incredible.  We have never seen a stock market rally like this in all the history for the S&P 500.  In no other time has the S&P index run up nearly 50 percent in the matter of 5 months.  Extreme market volatility is the ultimate sign of market distress.  Think for a minute and ask yourself […]

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