Apr 19 2010

The Future of U.S. Housing – Projections of Household Formation, Loan Modification Data, 500,000 Option ARMs Still Active, and a Decade of Stagnation.

Take what you knew about projecting housing for the last fifty years and throw it out the window.  The big problem with using models post-World War II is that they base growth on a baby boomer population that was the largest affluent middle class cohort known to the world.  That model is now disappearing.  Some […]

Mar 30 2010

Real Estate Still Overpriced in California in many Markets and Paying your Mortgage with Unemployment Benefits – Examining Housing Values through Employment and Local Market Trends. Los Angeles has a 4.4 Income to Home Price Ratio even after a 42 Percent Price Decline.

As housing prices have collapsed from their halcyon bubble peak, many are peering out into the foreclosure landscape that is the current U.S. real estate market and are wondering if prices now fall in line with economic fundamentals.  The problem in many areas across the U.S. isn’t so much with housing prices but actual employment […]

Mar 3 2010

The Middle Class Financial Compact Being Washed Away – Income Dilution and the Saving Disparity. 57 Million Households Live on $52,000 Per Year or Less.

The middle class is finding itself struggling to keep what was once seen as staples of a burgeoning working class in our country.  Part of this battle has come from a system that has rewarded easy finance on the backs of the working class.  Take for example residential real estate.  For decades, this was probably […]

Jan 5 2010

Buying a Home in America today is Expensive Thanks to the Banking Sector: Examining Income and Home Prices from 1950 to the Present. Can Home Prices Fall Another 38 Percent?

A question rarely asked regarding the housing market today is whether prices are affordable.  There seems to be this implicit belief that because prices have fallen so drastically that they somehow must reflect a bargain.  This is not necessarily true.  I think in our consumerist society people are conditioned to automatically assume that a lower […]

Nov 24 2009

13 Million Negative Equity Homeowners and Negative Equity FDIC: The Shackles of Debt Leverage on the American Economy. FDIC $8.2 Billion in the red with 552 Troubled Banks on the Revised List.

The third quarter was devastating for banks and homeowners.  To show the growing divide between Wall Street and the American economy, the FDIC just released its third quarter banking profile.  The FDIC fund is not only broke, it is now in the red to the sum of $8.2 billion.  We’ve been warning that the fund […]

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