Sep 8 2009

Option ARM Disaster Arrival: Mortgages More Problematic than Originally Thought. $134 Billion Recasting in Next Two Years. 94 Percent Made only Minimum Payment. Only 35,000 of the 1 million Option ARM loans Modified.

Option ARMs, the dubious name for a mortgage product of financial destruction, are back in the limelight showing that they have not gone away.  Everyone by now has heard about option ARMs.  These toxic mortgages allowed borrowers a buffet of payment options.  However, in recent data released this week we are told that things are […]

Aug 1 2009

FDIC Loan Report and Plan C: Nearly Half of the $7.7 trillion in Loans Outstanding at FDIC Insured Banks are in the form of Commercial Real Estate. USPS Contracting CRE Space. Drop in Restaurant Traffic.

The commercial real estate debacle is heating up.  Although the market is cheering the better than expected drop in second quarter GDP, much of the reason for a less than spectacular fall came from the “G” in the equation, government spending.  By the way, we revised Q1 GDP lower to -6.4 percent but not much […]

Jul 26 2009

Atlas Vacant – The Commercial Real Estate Bust: Gearing up for a $3 Trillion Headache. Increase in Vacancy Rates and Higher Defaults.

The commercial real estate bust is going to be legendary. We are talking trillions of dollars. The attention of Americans is being pulled away by massive market volatility that has seen the S&P 500 shoot up 44 percent in four months. Yet the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve have kept their eye on this market […]

Jul 19 2009

Negative Equity Nation for 1 out of 5 Homeowners: The Psychology of the 10 Million American Homeowners with Zero Equity.

Recent data suggests that the number one factor for walking away from a home is negative equity.  For us to understand this dynamic, it is important to understand why someone would leave a home with a mortgage.  According to the U.S. Census Bureau some 51.6 million owner occupied homes have a mortgage.  This is data […]

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