Jul 1 2010

Commercial real estate transactions collapse 90 percent from 2007 to 2009. The next taxpayer bailout in the $3.5 trillion CRE market. From $522 billion in sales to $52 billion. CRE market over 4 times the size of the entire credit card market.

The massive commercial real estate market is already plaguing the weak balance sheets of banks.  It is the case that each Friday, we are likely to see one U.S. bank fail because due to high levels of commercial real estate (CRE) debt on their books.  This market is likely to cause the failure of hundreds […]

Jun 24 2010

Current state of the American housing market. What foreclosures and distressed borrowers tell us in hidden data. 2010 on path to having 4 million foreclosure filings. HAMP call center data at record levels while loan modifications dwindle.

Trying to get honest data from the banking industry regarding the current state of housing is a monumental task.  We are left using multiple data sources to get an accurate picture of the current state of the American housing market.  Even then, we are left trying to piece together data that is largely incomplete.  For […]

Jun 20 2010

Taxes coming for $1 trillion in commercial real estate. 1.2 million partnerships own over $1 trillion in CRE. Too big to fail dumping CRE debt.

The problems for commercial real estate are deep and significant and have the potential of stifling any sort of recovery.  Rather than looking at commercial real estate (CRE) as a reason for more stimulus or bailouts the question should examine why so many CRE locations are defaulting.  Can this be a sign that demand for […]

Jun 16 2010

Gear up for another lost decade in real estate. Housing will remain stagnate from 2010 to 2020. Demographic shifts, higher mortgage rates, and shifting consumer taste in real estate.

The dynamics for housing moving forward point to a very bleak future and a potential lost decade yet again from 2010 to 2020.  Housing has a treacherous path moving forward and deep down demographic shifts will keep a lid on any significant housing appreciation moving forward.  The economy is in the process of deleveraging from […]

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