Jun 2 2010

The growing condo shadow inventory – CityCenter in Las Vegas and Lexington Park in Chicago. The shadow inventory that is crushing commercial real estate.

There is a massive amount of vacant inventory sitting across the United States.  A good portion of this is viewable to the public but a large amount of this inventory is simply hidden from data scrutiny.  Last week we talked about the commercial real estate bust coming to the most expensive region in California of […]

May 25 2010

Why buying a home today makes little financial sense. 3 reasons why taking on a mortgage in today’s market is deep in speculation. Are homes still over valued? Tax benefit not as big as you would expect.

It is hard for many to believe that home prices in many of our largest cities are still overvalued.  Part of this distortion has to come from living in a decade long housing bubble that has adjusted the perception of value and price.  But in many areas home prices are still much too high relative […]

May 17 2010

Shadow inventory sales for years to come – 1.6 million distress sales in 2010, 1.6 million in 2011, and 1.5 million in 2012. By summer of 2011 REO pipeline will rise to 536,000.

Wall Street as usual enjoys denying facts until they become so obvious to the common person on the street.  By then, it is too late to react.  For example, subprime wasn’t a problem until it lit the fuse that set the global economy into a downward tailspin.  Analysts at Barclays Capital are now coming out […]

May 11 2010

The ambiguous financial state of housing – 3 issues repeating the housing bubble mistakes; Real estate psychology, down payments required, and bring back lending responsibility to immediate areas.

The overwhelming evidence of what went wrong to create the housing bubble is irrefutable.  It is clear that allowing buyers to purchase a home with little to no documentation was a bad idea.  So why continue doing this today?  It was abundantly obvious that zero down or low down mortgages was a recipe for disaster.  […]

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