Nov 1 2010

Real estate is a bad investment does not show up in Google News and other interesting housing trends – Strategic default searches went viral in 2010. Banks betting against American homeowners.

82 percent of American households have internet access.  Of those with internet access, a large number are homeowners.  The vast majority use Google to search for many things including foreclosure advice or investigating the real estate market.  The online trends give of a sense of what is happening in the collective psyche of our country […]

Oct 18 2010

Fed extends a helping hand to Hilton Hotels and takes over malls across the country – The Federal Reserve clandestine bailout of the $3 trillion commercial real estate industry. South Florida apartment building prices down 52 percent from peak.

If you think residential real estate is having problems, you should shift your gaze to the mammoth issues confronting commercial real estate.  Little is mentioned about commercial real estate (CRE) in the mainstream media yet this is a $3 trillion market (or twice the annual GDP of Texas).  Much of the problems in CRE are […]

Oct 11 2010

Will the U.S. face a generation of underperforming housing values? It happened from 1915 to 1945 and the current trend is not looking favorable. Current U.S. housing values over priced by 30 percent.

It is hard to imagine a time in U.S. history when housing was actually perceived as cheap for an entire generation.  Yet this is the exact experience that occurred from 1915 to 1945.  Home values were cheap in relative inflation adjusted terms.  Even after 1945, homes were still affordable and this is where the seeds […]

Sep 9 2010

California MLS inventory up 25 percent since April. MLS public data at 144,000 but 742,000 mortgages in California are in foreclosure or one payment behind.

MLS inventory for California has increased by 25 percent since April of this year.  Part of this has to do with more foreclosures and short sales trickling their way onto the market.  It also has to do with sales declining because of tax credit expiration fatigue.  But what is the real inventory if banks were […]

Aug 21 2010

Sin City and Nevada suffer brunt of recession – 25 percent underemployment rate for Nevada reflecting depression like stats. Foreclosure data on home that was picked up for $120,000 but had a second mortgage of $1.2 million.

The great recession has touched every state across the United States with a reverse Midas touch.  Every average American has felt this recession to one degree or another.  Yet few states have felt the economic implosion like Nevada.  Here we have a state that highlights the heavy reliance on the housing bubble, conspicuous consumer spending, […]

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