Mar 25 2009

Dow and S&P 500: Is 2009 a Redux of 1938 and 1939? Powerful Spring through Summer Rallies. Market on Track for best Month in Decades.

The recent market rally is going down in the record books.  The S&P 500 is up 21 percent in a matter of 3 weeks, which is one of the strongest short-term rallies in the books.  In fact, we are on track for our best month since 1987.  Yet this rally has the ominous signs of […]

Mar 22 2009

Banking Transparency Gone: The Federal Reserve has been Slowly Moving to more Archaic Forms of Creating Credit. New Plan Will Subsidize Casino Loans for Investors with Taxpayer Money.

While the public is exercising a Freudian fixation on the A.I.G. scandal, misguidedly thinking that A.I.G. is an American company in the sense of G.M. or Ford (it is not although many Americans see a Rorschach American company), the Federal Reserve just decided to increase its balance sheet by $1.2 trillion.  This unprecedented action was […]

Mar 6 2009

Major Trends in Employment: College Graduates Now Facing Higher Unemployment, U-6 Rate now at 14.8%, and 4.3 million jobs lost during this Recession.

The BLS has put out its monthly employment report and the data is once again showing weakness in the U.S. employment market.  What we are now seeing is conformation that this will in fact be the deepest and longest recession since the Great Depression.  What is more troubling is in light of the multiple bailouts […]

Feb 21 2009

Stock Market Volatility is Back: Approaching a Decade of Lost Returns on Investments. The S&P 500 can fall another 42%.

The stock market is off to a horrible start for 2009.  Many thought that things could not get worse than what we experienced in 2008.  Yet market volatility, a sign of an unhealthy economy, is still with us and appearing again in a ferocious way.  From January 4, 2008 to February 21, 2008 the S&P […]

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