Aug 3 2010

Commercial real estate maturities will peak in 2012 – $350 billion in loans coming due and hundreds of additional bank failures. Bank lending in the CRE market collapsing.

The commercial real estate disaster is sinking banks on a weekly basis.  Talk of a V-shape recovery is now largely a moot point since we are past the point of a quick and strong recovery.  The question now revolves around what we are going to face for the next few years.  Commercial real estate really […]

Jun 5 2010

FDIC massive problems ahead with smaller bank failures. 105 banks hold 77 percent of all banking assets. $10 trillion held in too big to fail while 775 banks appear on the FDIC problem list.

The FDIC went ahead and closed another handful of banks this Friday.  It really is a rare day to see 400,000+ jobs added and the market retreat so significantly.  A large part of the gains came from temporary Census hiring which peaked last month.  If the economy were really recovering banks wouldn’t be failing on […]

May 2 2010

Commercial real estate pushes $7.4 billion in FDIC Losses in one day – Hard to hear the CRE collapse with investment banks finally being called out in the court of public opinion. $3 trillion CRE market will keep Fridays busy for the FDIC.

The $3 trillion commercial real estate market is still in a state of economic turmoil.  Many people might have missed the big news on Friday given the massive spotlight on Goldman Sachs.  On Friday, the FDIC closed down 7 banks at a stunning cost of $7.4 billion to the FDIC.  As we have mentioned, the […]

Apr 19 2010

The Future of U.S. Housing – Projections of Household Formation, Loan Modification Data, 500,000 Option ARMs Still Active, and a Decade of Stagnation.

Take what you knew about projecting housing for the last fifty years and throw it out the window.  The big problem with using models post-World War II is that they base growth on a baby boomer population that was the largest affluent middle class cohort known to the world.  That model is now disappearing.  Some […]

Mar 8 2010

Breaking the American Bank – Banking Propaganda and Using the American Middle Class as a Credit Card for Wall Street Excess. How About we let the Average American Borrow from the Federal Reserve at 0 Percent and cut out the Loan Shark?

Banks are showing their true colors and what little regard they have for the average American.  As they advertise with cute and friendly faces assuring consumers they are looking out for their best interest, behind their backs they send in a locust of lobbyist onto Washington to do everything in their power to gut any […]

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