May 4 2009

S&P 500 up 34 Percent in Less Than 2 Months: S&P 500 went down 38 Percent for all of 2008. So why are we Still Down 42 Percent from the 2007 Peak?

We are witnessing one of the strongest bear market rallies in history.  This kind of market volatility only rears its head during extreme environments.  One quick fact many market watchers will realize is that if you lose 50 percent of your portfolio, you will need to have a 100 percent gain to break even.  How […]

Apr 2 2009

Employment a Lagging Indicator? Not Always. Using Outdated Economic Data and Trends for Future Financial Models. Just Because Stocks Rebound doesn’t Mean the Fundamentals are Good.

The markets are continuing on an unrelenting upward movement since their March 9th lows.  This is a strong rally that has now seen the S&P 500 jump up by 25 percent in the matter of a few weeks!  This kind of market volatility is reserved for highly volatile and troubled markets.  It is a rare […]

Mar 16 2009

The Long Depression of 1873: Parallels and Comparisons. Are we Missing Economic Information from an Important Piece of American Financial History?

There have been many comparisons to the Great Depression with our current economic crisis.  Massive speculation, rampant problems in the banking system, and exponential jumps in unemployment.  Yet we may have a lot to learn by looking at the former Great Depression known as the Long Depression.  The Long Depression lasted 65 months starting in […]

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