Jul 19 2012

The sinister nature of inflation – historic droughts push food costs up impacting 46 million Americans on food stamps. What happens when everything gets more expensive and incomes fall?

Inflation is an odd sort of economic beast.  People take it for granted that inflation will always be a part of our life sort of like a quite humming background noise.  The Federal Reserve is doing all it can to increase inflation so banks can essentially inflate their debts away.  Yet the impact for most […]

Jul 16 2012

Refinancing debt into prosperity – most mortgage activity for refinances with applications up 97 percent from last year and car sales are down by over 50 percent from 2001.

Shuffling papers around on your desk does not mean you are being productive but might give the appearance of activity.  Refinancing debt in countries in an insolvent position may feel good for the moment, but ultimately the position is unsustainable.  You buy yourself a window of opportunity.  With the Federal Reserve pushing mortgage rates to […]

Jul 13 2012

The looming student loan bubble – Almost half of all student borrowers were not making payments. 1 out of 4 in debt repayment past due on student debt.

The aggressive growth in student debt is setting the country up for another debt fueled bubble.  Higher education costs have expanded so quickly that Americans now carry $1 trillion of student debt.  Most of this expansion has occurred in a time when the return-on-investment for a college degree has fallen.  Over the last ten years […]

Jul 9 2012

A clash of generations – 1 out of 6 Americans receiving Social Security benefits. A larger share of workforce dominated by older Americans.

The bill is coming due.  A stunning 61,000,000+ Americans receive Social Security, Supplemental Security Income, or both.  Add another 46,000,000+ Americans on food assistance and you begin to see why we are running on borrowed time on a variety of fronts.  With Social Security, working Americans are taxed for current retirees.  This works when you […]

Jul 7 2012

The four horsemen of the sluggish economy – Total credit market debt above $55 trillion, few jobs for many unemployed, the student debt bubble, and long-term compression of wages.

The US economy is facing tremendous financial hurdles in the years to come.  The current market is being held together by a flood of debt that is masking underlying issues.  Total credit market debt is many times larger than our annual GDP.  Student loan debt continues to expand unabated even though the return-on-investment for many […]

Jul 5 2012

The dynamic central banking duo – ECB balance sheet up over €3.1 trillion mimicking Fed balance that is close to $3 trillion. Shuffling toxic assets into darkness.

You might have the vague memory that the European Central Bank reacted somewhat negatively to the Federal Reserve’s massive balance sheet expansion a few years ago.  The ECB was not following in the same path as that of the Fed.  Well fast forward to the current Euro crisis and the ECB now has a balance […]

Jul 3 2012

The great deleveraging – US households see access to debt diminish. Housing affordability and reversion to the home price to family income ratio.

Households in the US continue to face a painfully slow process of austerity via debt deleveraging.  In a debt based system like the one we live in access to debt is viewed by many as access to money.  That is, your ability to finance a car, home, vacation, or even a college education is largely […]

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