Feb 20 2013

Crossing the debt Rubicon. Does debt even matter? Over $5 trillion in Federal debt now held by international and foreign investors.

In most economic literature there seems to be a tipping point at which a nation enters a precarious state in which too much debt has been taken on.  A typical point occurs when a country hits a point where annual GDP is surpassed by total outstanding debt.  We recently crossed that threshold.  Another long-term trend […]

Feb 12 2013

Are stock investors coming back in at another debt induced peak? How regular stock investors are horrible at market timing.

The media is falling over itself with articles on how fantastic the stock market is.  The fact that the S&P 500 is now up from the March 2009 lows by over 100 percent seems to put the financial crisis in the annals of history.  Yet for most investors, the stock market is largely a casino.  […]

Feb 4 2013

The United States of Debt Addiction: Our reliance on debt has created an entire economy fortified in the fires of moral hazard and fiscally dangerous leverage.

16 point 7 trillion dollars.  That is our current national debt.  12 point 8 trillion dollars.  That is the amount households carry in mortgage and consumer debt.  We are now addicted to debt to lubricate the wheels of our financial system.  There is nothing wrong with debt per se, but it is safe to say […]

Jan 29 2013

Inflation unchained: US dollar down 23 percent from 2000, Tuition up 72 percent, and home values up 44 percent. Incomes adjusting for inflation are back to 1990s levels.

It is hard to believe that people in the US are still denying the obvious impact of inflation.  The slow erosion of purchasing power has occurred for many decades now.  What people tend to forget in a completely fiat based system is that the Fed can print as much money as it likes.  And they […]

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