As many of you may or may not be aware, the next big thing that is pushing mortgage lenders and financials into the ground is margin calls. What is occurring in the market is companies leveraged to the heavens, are now realizing the stark difference between liquid and illiquid assets. Take a look at Thornburg Mortgage:
In two days, the market relinquished all weekly gains and looking at market fundamentals there really is very little doubt as to why this occurred. This past week, the two large mortgage behemoths Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced record quarterly losses. We also got a report that the housing market dropped at its fastest rate in 2007 from anything that we have on record. But there are areas that are on a massive tear and will continue going up because of inherent imbalances in our economy. In Investing in Foreign Currencies: Recession Proof Investing we discussed various ways you could protect your portfolio from recessionary forces.
First, we need to highlight what our forecast is for 2008. Read More
As the housing market continues its crash and burn path, it is sometimes difficult to put into words the incredible amount of mortgage debt floating around in the market. Since the 90s, mortgage debt has exploded and has followed a celestial trajectory to the moon. Mortgage debt has grown since 1997 for over a decade nearly unabated. Take a look at this chart below:
In what has to be a case of the worst timing award, Visa is planning to launch an $18.76 billion IPO. When credit gets tight, go IPO:
As the economy evolves and takes a different course, what are the best jobs for 2008? Almost with a process of elimination, we can assume that the jobs that are contracting the most have much to do with housing and finance. In the midst of all of this there are still many bright spots to look at. MSNBC has an interesting article discussing the current state of jobs for 2008: Read More
With so much talk about the credit crisis you would think that many people would realize that not all credit is good for you. So what is the reaction of our central bank leaders? They decide to extend more liquidity to banks but the only problem is the majority of the population is already maxed out. No longer can they support back breaking monthly payments. The credit card offers in the mail are now subsiding. There was a point in time where I was receiving an incredible 3 to 5 offers per day. It was simply unbelievable and unsupportable. As we have discussed in a previous article, residential real estate is predicted to decline by 20 to 30 percent and $20 trillion in wealth is stored here. You can imagine what is going to occur when prices start declining even further. We are only in the first rounds of the credit retrenchment and already our economy is on the verge of a recession. Read More