Dec 17 2009

The Commercial Real Estate Default Wave is Here: Commercial Mortgage Defaults Now at 16 Year High. 3.4 Percent of all Commercial Real Estate Loans in Default.

What has been lost in the housing talk recovery is the grim statistics that commercial real estate has fallen 37 percent in value in the last year.  This wouldn’t be such a big problem aside from the tiny detail that some $3 trillion in commercial real estate loans are still outstanding.  The commercial real estate […]

Nov 19 2009

Commercial Real Estate Reality Check: 2007 Commercial Real Estate Valued at $6.5 Trillion with $3.5 trillion loans. Today, Commercial Real Estate Valued at $3.5 Trillion with $3.5 Trillion in Loans. Can you spot the Problem?

Commercial real estate is dealing with the neutron bomb effect.  The buildings still stand but the inside is gutted as if vultures had devoured a carcass.  What we are seeing, like in many other sectors of our economy, is a distinction between reality based economics and the inflated prices of Wall Street.  If we look […]

Aug 12 2009

Commercial Real Estate, Construction and Finance Employment: How Commercial Real Estate will drag the California Economy Deeper into Recession. 32 Percent of California Construction Jobs Gone.

California is heavily dependent on real estate.  That should be of little surprise to you but many have a hard time understanding how devastating the housing crash is to employment in various sectors.  California for 30 years relied on housing even though in many years, it was in a bubble.  That is why in 2009 […]

Jan 3 2009

10 FDIC Charts and Graphs Highlighting Bank Problems: FDIC Analysis Examining 2009 Future of over 8,000 Banks Insured by the FDIC.

With all the problems occurring in the banking system, it is rather astonishing that so few have failed in 2008.  At least that is the perception being put out there for us to digest.  Yet the failure of one IndyMac or Washington Mutual is the equivalent of 100 smaller bank failures all at once.

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